Emotions and forex market
by Trader345 on Sep.30, 2009, under Forex trading
Forex market like any other market is where human beings are dealing. Emotions come in package with a human being, that is to say every human is surrounded by his emotions. Greed and fear are the two prominent emotions that play a factor role in trade. If one is successful in overcoming his emotions while making decision can reach to the heights in no time.
When human emotions take over the decisions than the forex market tends to move away from reality. When the fear and greed are functioning it’s observed that the prices are moved far away from the fair value. This hikes up the market causing the decisions so made not accurate.
It’s not quite easy to identify such market conditions. Perhaps a simple example can help in developing the understanding. You might be hearing in news the down fall some currency’s price in comparison to another country’s currency. Let’s take Euro/US dollar pair as an example. News such as the interest rates has dropped by a significant percentage, the housing and job market seems awful. GDP has reduced so the prices of the currency will fall obviously. These create a fear factor in the market and the investors at a large scale sale out the US dollar.
This perception of the news is wrong. Actually the euro chart shows resistance and thus falling. This is why because the news is discounted and traders on reacting it have sold the dollar as much as they could. Here the fear factor functioned. This is how the dollar went back to its previous position.
Moreover the market will move forward and consider the thoughts as proactive. Undoubtedly Euro zone gives ameliorative interest rates though it has a struggling economy. This will result in interest cuts and the traders sooner or later will realize this and sell the euro for the dollar.
The thing to keep in mind is that market speeds up mostly when they appear most bearish.
The bearish news instead of lowering the price of dollar actually increases its profit. On examining a forex chart it can clearly be seen that in reality the dollar is getting defend and the momentum of euro if declining. This forex chart mechanism takes place in all markets and forex market is not an exception.
Traders push prices to far up or down based upon the emotions of greed and fear and when the buying or selling frenzy ends, the market turns and a counter rally starts.
To put it all together, traders influence the price on the grounds of greed and fear emotions. As the buying or selling delirium ceases the market begins to speedup.
If you are able to gauge your emotions at this particular situation you can surely make huge profits in no time.