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Archive for October, 2009

Forex Trading Indicators

by Trader345 on Oct.30, 2009, under Forex trading

People generally possess different methods of approaching the forex market. It is difficult to predict which the better one is; however there are some few important key aspects that aid in shaping ones behavior. The forex trade is associated with substantial risks and it is surely not suitable for the beginners, it is indeed a good option for the experienced traders to make his position in the forex market and earn some wealth and skills.

However forex traders should understand that the amount of time spent in the forex market varies a lot. It may need only a few hours to fix the forex automated software or it may need full time of the forex trader if they wish to learn all the aspects right from a scratch to the manual trading. However, unless an individual who is doing forex trading career full time it is not possible for most of them. For the full time forex traders any kind of forex automated software for trading would leverage adequacy existing due to time shortage.

Forex indicator services and the forex robots generate automatic indicators that indicate the forex traders a great deal of data. This data includes the kind of currency pair to be traded, precise time and place for trading correctly, etc. the forex indicator services do need the forex traders to execute their trading partly manual, that means placing a manual order. Alternatively, the forex robots save a lot of time of the people and simplify the complexions that need to be known.

Actually, forex trading needs a modest amount of knowledge regarding the different settings of the software’s. The key here is to select the best one as the program is easy to install and have a well tested default panel of settings.

In order to read the forex indicators, might need the forex trader a significant amount of currency trading data regarding the trading patterns and graphing software’s. Here, the forex trader should be time focused as well as resourceful. Better skills attained can help in boosting the confidence of the forex traders however many execute it successfully.

It would be practical to quote an example here. If a forex trader is patient with a small deposit amount of five hundred dollars, he will get a modest return of about ten percent of that amount every month. Across the years, that sum along with the income can start growing into bigger amounts. Hence, it is said and well accepted that not only patience, but also smart and intellectual decision making is the primary key leading towards success in the forex market. So learn to be patient, observable and smart enough to understand any new techniques or processes taking place in the forex market.

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Forex Trading Tips to obtain huge profits

by SamIam on Oct.30, 2009, under Forex trading

If you want make your Forex trading business money-making then you need to refer tips. In this article, we will discuss tips about how to do Forex trading business. By using our tips you can gain huge profits. Many affordable software packages are available in the market out of which you can choose perfect one. If these affordable packages worked, almost 95% of traders will not lose. You require learning skills to do Forex trading. All Forex traders should take Forex education.

In order to make your trading business gainful, you have to trade less and make huge profits. According to few Forex traders, trading all the time is best to gain great profits therefore, they day trade and attempt scalping a few pips. But it means that they work hard and take numerous low odds in trading and lose. Instead of doing this, they need to focus on the huge trends that can be followed for great profits. By focusing mainly on big trends, you can make more money with less effort. This is a great combination. You need to simplify your trading strategy. You should always look for a simple strategy and stick with it. Numerous traders are continuously changing their Forex trading strategies and adding them in new indicators.

You should look for those strategies, which are simple and robust. Choose simple strategies and not complex ones, as they have fewer components to break. No perfect trading strategy is available therefore do not waste your time to find it. Only you need to choose simple one. You need give attention to stops in terms of instability. An ordinary error made by several traders is to place stops to close if they enter traders and then fail them rapidly.

To win in Forex trading business, you should understand how to place stops accurately in terms of standard deviation of price. And if you do not know about this Forex trading area, you need to make it part of your Forex education. Never predict things in Forex trading business. You need to trade the actuality of price chance. The common mistake that Forex traders commit is attempting to forecast when lows as well as highs hold. Predicting things in trading business can lead traders towards loses.  Hence, rather than trying to catch the accurate turn of the trading market, you need to wait for it to get confirmed before trading. By doing this, you are able to increase your odds of trading success.

If you want a timeless way to gain money, you need to look up breakout trading as it is simple to understand, make great profits. In breakout trading you also do not need to predict anything.

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Daily Review 30/10/2009

by SamIam on Oct.30, 2009, under Daily forex review

USD Dollar (USD)

The Dollar fell against most of its counterparts after better than expected GDP increased investor\’s appetite for risk. The Gross Domestic Product was released at 3.5% vs. the 3.1% expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out slightly worse than expected at 530K. After 4 straight days of drops Wall Street headed for a steep rise after the GDP showed that the U.S. economy expanded at a 3.5% annual pace in the 3Q and fueled stocks. Dow Jones jumped by 2.05% to 9,963 and the NASDAQ rose by 1.84%. Crude oil jumped by 3.19% closing at 79.93$ a barrel as the surprising US economy expansion signaled for a potential increase in oil demand. Gold (XAU) trades at $1,047. Today, Personal Spending is expected at -0.4% vs. 1.3% previously and Employment Cost Index is expected unchanged at 0.4%.

EURO (EUR)

The Euro continued towards its fourth monthly rise against the Dollar as the U.S.’s return to growth renewed optimism a global recovery will quicken, aiding demand for higher-yielding assets. German Unemployment Change came out better than expected at -26K vs. expected 15K. European markets rose more than 1%. Commodities recovered from previous losses and posted important gains. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4682 and with a high of 1.4857. Today, European CPI Index is expected at -0.1% vs. -0.3% previously.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.4830

Resistance

1.4880

1.4925

1.4970

Support

1.4770

1.4720

1.4680

British Pound (GBP)

The Pound climbed against the Dollar for a fourth day after reports showed U.K. mortgage approvals increased more than forecast last month and the U.S. returned to growth in the third quarter. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6337 and with a high of 1.6602. Today, Nationwide Housing Price Index is expected at 0.7% vs. 0.9% previously.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.6560

Resistance

1.6640

1.6700

1.6765

Support

1.6475

1.6410

1.6350

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Japanese currency fell during the European session and continued its plunge after the release of a government report that showed Japan’s jobless rate unexpectedly dropped for a second month, reducing demand for the relative safety of the Japanese currency. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 90.24 and with a high of 91.60. Today, The Bank of Japan (BOJ) Press Conference is expected. The interest rate is expected unchanged at 0.1%.

USD/JPY-Last: 91.30

Resistance

91.80

92.20

92.30

Support

91.05

90.83

90.50

Canadian dollar (CAD)

The Canadian Dollar climbed from a 3 week low against the Dollar as stocks and commodities rallied after the US GDP report showed the American economy grew in the third quarter for the first time in a year. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0654 and with a high of 1.0820. Today, Canada\’s The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected at 0.1% vs. 0% previously.

USD/CAD – Last: 1.0670

Resistance

1.0750

1.0820

1.0865

Support

1.0630

1.0585

1.0545

Research by http://www.ufxbank.com

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GoLearnForex Daily Technical Analysis

by Trader345 on Oct.29, 2009, under daily technical anlysis

AUD/USD:

The AUD continues its recent retrace.  Many traders use different time frames for different currency pairs.  The longer the time frame the more valid the pattern you are charting is.  Moving Averages are basic tool that even the most sophisticated trader needs to always be cognizant of.  The markets tend follow the moving averages generated off of the daily charts.

In Chart below I use a moving average from an 8 hour chart.  I strongly encourage traders to be vigilant of at least checking a weekly, daily, 8 and or 4 hour chart and then any time frame less than 4 hours that you may want to look at.

INSERT CHART

You can see that the yellow line representing the SMA 50 was breeched and prices continued a steady fall (The Red line is the 100 SMA).  There are also a number of near candle formations that support this price depreciation.

Circled in blue is a near Falling Three Candle pattern.  Typically you have a red candle followed by 3 or so small green candles that are contained by the original red candle.  Following the last green candle is another red candle with price closing below the original red.  The Falling Three pattern is nearly followed by Three Black Crows.  This candle pattern forms when you have the candles each open in the midsection of the proceeding candle but also close lower than the proceeding candle.  This pattern nearly forms between the 2 white lines.

GBP/USD:

This pair has been range bound since May.  When a pair trades in a range, price is confined to a narrow margin of highs and lows.  In the Chart below the 2 red lines represent the range support and resistance lines.

The 2 red boxes indicate when minor breakouts have occurred.  The tops and bottoms of the boxes would be your absolute stops depending on the handle you entered the trade at.  Another point of consideration is the 50 SMA and 100 SMA.  You can see that the SMA’s are also moving sideways.  Price typically pops when it passes above/below a significant SMA.  With SMA moving into a sideways march we are approaching congestion on this pair and that should signal another breakout.  Obviously if the dollar continues to strengthen as it has GBP should be headed south.

INSERT CHART

Analysis by http://www.golearnforex.net

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The Advantages of the Forex market

by Trader345 on Oct.29, 2009, under Forex trading

From last few years popularity of trading the Forex market increased. Compare to the futures and stock market the Forex market to trader all over the world. It  is so because unlike these other two markets, the Forex market is the only one that can offer any trader the opportunity to do currency trading in a 24 hour basis, therefore allowing more flexibility for any one with tied interests and investments in it, and in others as well. We can do trading at any time, anywhere means in flexible time.

In Forex trading need not require a substantial sum of capital in order to get into like other investment markets require a substantial sum of capital in order to get into.

Anyone can begin even with just a minimal amount, like $300 or so. Forex trading also has the advantage of allowing the trader to have full control of their capital, wherein they can be withdrawn as desired, especially in times where the trade situation calls for it to avert probable big losses. Forex is the smart and safest investment to make – with only a minimal amount of capital needed to, yet offering substantial profits to be made.

In stock trading, traders have to wait for stock prices to go up to gain a profit. It’s different with Forex trading as Forex traders are still able to do successful trading transactions in the presence of both favorable and unfavorable market conditions. This is where the drawing power of the currency market stands out. Though riddled with risks, the big potential to make a profit even in unstable fluctuations is still possible, especially with traders who have a sound investment system, skills, confidence, and self-discipline to guide them.

The Forex market can be accessed by anyone through any computer with a decent Internet connection, at any place and time so desired, adding practicality to its convenience. Also anyone can do some preliminary practice trading with demo accounts that can be downloaded for free, before doing the real deal. The practice lessons of demo accounts will serve any new trader well to learn – from the most basic to the most advanced lessons of the currency market, before actually doing real trading with real money. Any (new) trader, who goes into the currency market with no real concrete knowledge and adequate exposure of how it all works and behaves, will surely be heading for a disastrous end.  Anyone can learn to trade Forex, so long as they have the focus to learn its basic lessons with heart, and the discipline to follow through with their respective trade systems.

We can access Forex Market from anywhere, any time through any computer with the help of Internet Connection. We can do Forex trading at any time, anywhere and according to our convenience time.

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Daily Review

by SamIam on Oct.29, 2009, under Daily forex review

USD Dollar (USD)

The Dollar rose across the board. A rise in risk aversion following an unexpectedly drop in New Home Sales sent stocks lower worldwide. The Dow Jones fell for the 4th consecutive session and ended at 9,763.The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped 2% on concern a rally in equities this year outpaced the prospects for economic growth. New-home sales unexpectedly fell last month to an annual rate of 402K, from a revised 417K pace in August. Crude oil fell from $79 a barrel to $77.20 on stronger Dollar. Gold (XAU) continues to move away from the highs of the year and fell to test levels below $1,030 an ounce. Today, The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected at 3.1% vs. -0.7% previously. The Initial Jobless Claims are expected at 520K vs. 531K previously.

EURO (EUR)

The Euro kept weakening versus the Dollar for the 4th day in a row. The currency slumped against Dollar and Yen, reaching a 2 week low against both safe havens. The German Consumer Price Index (CPI) came out as expected at 0.1%. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4690 and with a high of 1.4840. Today, The German Unemployment Change is expected with 15K vs. -12K previously. The German Unemployment Rate is expected at 8.3% vs. 8.2% previously.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.4700

Resistance

1.48

1.4842

1.489

Support

1.471

1.4675

1.465

British Pound (GBP)

The Pound failed to hold above 1.6400 versus the Dollar finding support only at 1.6360 following economic data in the U.S and Dollar\’s strength. GBP/USD peaked at the highest price for the current week but it was unable to hold versus the strengthening Dollar. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6285 and with a high of 1.6466. Today, Net Lending to individuals is expected unchanged at 0.7B. The Mortgage Approvals also expected unchanged at 52K.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.6368

Resistance

1.651

1.6575

1.6640

Support

1.6355

1.6285

1.6240

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Yen rose sharply versus most majors as weak economic data sent world stocks lower fueling risk aversion. The Yen reached the highest in 2 weeks against the Euro amid signs the global economic recovery is losing steam, damping demand for higher-yielding assets. Industrial Production came out 1.4%better than 1.1% expected. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 90.54 and with a high of 91.80. Today, Household Spending is expected lower with 1.2% versus 2.6% and Tokyo Core CPI is expected with -2.0% versus -2.1% prior.

USD/JPY-Last: 90.42

Resistance

91.3

91.75

92.1

Support

90.5

90.1

89.9

Canadian dollar (CAD)

Canada’s currency depreciated against its U.S. counterpart to the lowest level in more than three weeks as declines in crude oil, the nation’s largest export, and stocks damped demand for higher-yielding assets. Overall, USDCAD traded with a low of 1.0636 and with a high of 1.0810. Today, The Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) is expected at 1% vs. 3.7% previously.

CAD/USD – Last: 1.0790

Resistance

1.08

1.0855

1.0898

Support

1.068

1.063

1.0587

Research by http://www.ufxbank.com

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Tips to get the right Forex broker

by SamIam on Oct.29, 2009, under Forex Broker Review

Forex trade is becoming popular nowadays. The investors have been increased a lot and this has led to the increase in the brokers. This trade was in the beginning available only for large financial institution and governmental organization but now it is available for the normal traders too. Anyone can trade from any part of the country. Now not many are aware of the Forex trade and its strategies. Getting a Forex broker will sure meet your trading requirements.

To trade one should be able to begin with the right equipment. From computer with the internet connection, trading software to the Forex broker everything should be taken care. By searching online, one can find the Forex Autopilot system which will help you to make more money while working on something else. There are lots of things to consider when it comes to getting information about a Forex broker. One should really understand that the broker should be registered with the Commodities Futures Trading Commission. One should check and verify the software used by them and even the procedures they follow. Always make sure to choose brokers from a well established company.

Before selecting a broker, make sure to compare the brokers and choose the one which will meet your trading requirements. Also check for reviews and comments on the company or the broker you have decided to choose. There are brokers who will offer demo accounts before choosing them. So get one so that you can improve your trading skills.

One should also look for the charges the brokers offer in the Forex market. Forex trade is liked and chosen by people as it involves no commission fee and transaction costs. There will be an initial investment and there are times when the brokers will ask for addition fees.

While searching for one, you can go for the broker who uses wide range of trading tools in the Forex trade. Make sure that the Forex broker will be able to provide with all the necessary tools that helps to trade successfully. The tools like, real time currency charts, economic calendars, technical analysis tools and fundamental analysis commentaries will be really helpful.

Well experienced Forex brokers will offer more than one account. By consulting few brokers you will be able to find out the one who is better among them. Get to know more by going through the forums as there are lots of tips and comments available in choosing one for your Forex trade. If one takes time and put in some effort by doing a small research, they will be able to find the ideal Forex broker. This will save you lots of time and troubles you may come across while doing the trade.

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GoLearnForex Daily Technical Analysis

by Trader345 on Oct.28, 2009, under daily technical anlysis

USD/CAD:

We have noted several times a formation we refer to as a Step pattern.  More commonly this is identified by Lower Lows and Lower Highs and vice versa.  We picked up on this pattern emerging on a 4 hours chart.  We identified the possible start of this pattern shortly after the BOC  publicly declared it’s sentiment for a “weak Canadian Dollar”.  We assured you that there would still be time to catch this move even if you could not trade the actual news.

We suggested that you wait for the Step to appear and buy on the dip which was a confirmation of our pattern formation. On the graph that it is depicted near the 3 and a yellow circle. The exit for taking PNL we had at 1.0660 a prior support resistance point.

INSERT GRAPH

EUR/USD:

The Squeeze Play.  We talked about this move where we are seemingly forced into a breakout.  In one of our earlier pieces we mentioned that our experience told us not to bet on the Squeeze Play, meaning trade against the direction of the existing trend.  I must admit we got carried away by the hoopla of crossing 1.50.

So the question you all should pose” is why in this case do you bet against the trend when one of the number one rules of technicians is never bet against the trend”.  The answer is based on the number two rule of technicians and that is; trade for the outcome that has the highest statistical probability of occurring.  To explain this further lets pose a question.  Why didn’t the market make this move a while ago similar to the recent strong moves in CHF  & AUD?

INSERT CHART

The answer is the Strength of the move was deteriorating in advance of 1.50.  Every trader had their   eye on  1.50, but obviously no one was a real buyer (for now) otherwise at 1.4830 when momentum started to stall we would have had traders continuing to bid up the EUR.  Lastly, when price action was negligible on the big cross of 1.50 that should have been another tip that there were no big orders lined up to continue buying north of 1.50.

We added  a MACD to indicate when the momentum started to wane. There are number of overbought tools on your platforms that you can use, from Stochastics and Oscillators to something as simple as the RSI.

Analysis by http://www.golearnforex.net

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Daily Review

by SamIam on Oct.28, 2009, under Daily forex review

USD Dollar (USD)

The Dollar strengthen during yesterday trading session as Confidence among U.S. consumers unexpectedly fell in October for a second month. The Conference Board’s confidence index dropped to 47.7 from a revised 53.4 in September. NASDAQ decreased by 1.2% and Dow Jones slightly rose by 0.14%. Crude oil rose by 1% closing at 79.55$ a barrel after a volatile trading session as investors wait for the oil inventories today. Gold (XAU) weakened by 0.7% closed at 1035.4$ an ounce. Today, Core Durable Goods Orders are expected at 0.6% vs. -0.3% prior, New Home Sales are expected to rise from 429K to 443K.

EURO (EUR)

The Euro weakened versus the Dollar for the third day in a row on concern a rally in stocks and commodities can’t be sustained. M3 Money Supply came out worse than expected at 1.8% vs. 2.1% forecast. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4770 and with a high of 1.4926. Today, German Prelim CPI is expected at 0.1% vs.-0.4% previously.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.4811

Resistance

1.4824

1.4927

1.5046

Support

1.4770

British Pound (GBP)

The Pound strengthened against the Dollar after the Confederation of British Industry\’s distributive trade\’s survey reported sales balance rose to +8 in October from +3 in September, better than economists\’ forecasts of a rise to +5. This is the fastest pace of growth since December 2007. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6285 and with a high of 1.6438. No economic data expected today.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.6358

Resistance

1.6438

1.6636

1.6693

Support

1.6286

1.6250

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Yen rose against the Dollar for the first time in 6 days as a plunge in Treasury yields after the record $44 billion auction in two-year notes made the Dollar less attractive to Japanese investors. USD/JPY traded with a low of 91.70 and with a high of 92.32. Retail sales came out at -1.4% vs. -1.5% forecast. No economic data expected today.

USD/JPY-Last: 91.18

Resistance

91.57

92.19

92.32

Support

90.77

90.48

Canadian dollar (CAD)

The Canadian Dollar appreciated from a three-week low, gaining for the first time in four days amid speculation its decline was too big to be sustained after it reached a key technical level. Overall, USDCAD traded with a low of 1.0626 and with a high of 1.0716. Today, BOC Gov Carney Speaks.

USD/CAD – Last: 1.0664

Resistance

1.0696

1.0717

Support

1.0630

1.0500

1.0450

Research by http://www.ufxbank.com

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Easy and Profitable Forex Swing Trading

by Trader345 on Oct.28, 2009, under Forex trading

The success of Forex trading can be attained via an approach of forex trading that is popularly referred as forex swing trading. This forex swing trading is easy to grasp and simple to execute comparatively. It is generally advised for the novice traders who wish to try their fortune using this kind of trade.

Swing forex trading is a kind of trading wherein the forex trader makes an effort to take benefit of the price fluctuations of a currency over a particular time period. The forex trader might hold a currency for a specific period of time say for some days or weeks based on the criteria’s of the forex market before actually selling or exchanging it with other currencies in order to gain profits. Nevertheless, similar to that of other kind of trades, the forex swing trading has to be carried out with precise planning that will recognize the aims sand the process to complete that aim.

A better approach spots clearly the entry as well as exit time in the trade. It also signifies all those processes that will aid to decrease the risks to a minimum in order to minimize and regulate the losses.

In order to determine the timings of exit and entry and to regulate the losses, the forex traders generally depend on the indicators that signify the different trends in the market. They foresee the future fluctuations of the currency values. A better knowledge of these indicators is important to attain great success in any kind of forex trade. Some of the forex traders do cautiously keep an eye on the economical, financial, and social circumstances of some of the important countries of the world even for a smaller change in the above mentioned conditions of any country has an impact on the currency value of that particular country.

The forex trading approaches should have rules that should be followed strictly. Indicators define the rules of the exit as well as entry of the traders into or out of the trade. It is believed that the forex trade generally depends on guess work and speculation. It is not good to believe that is is a simple guess work as the guess work of a successful trader always depends on well defined rules.

Apart from following the set of rules, the forex trader must implement a complete regulation over their emotions. It is seen that most of the traders has to undergo losses as thye get nervous and panic in a particular condition and they tend to exit from the trading scenario at a wrong movement. Hence a good mindset observance of the signals and money management is significant to attain success in the forex swing trade.

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